Civil Anna Commentary







The Projected Composition of the 2011 Arizona House

October 5, 2010:
I have seen several recent polls that suggest the need to closely watch four House races with Democratic incumbents: (Click the race to see Civil Arizona Coverage)

LD-11 Eric Meyer (D) versus Kate Brophy-McGee (R) and Eric West (R)
LD-20 Rae Waters (D) versus Jeff Dial (R) and Bob Robson (R)
LD-23 Barbara McGuire (D) versus Frank Pratt (R) and John Fillmore (R)
LD-26 Nancy Young Wright (D) versus Vic Williams (R) and Terri Proud (R)

Combining a high Republican turnout with the national Democratic backlash, all four of these seats could be Republican. The result would create a 40-20 super majority in the Arizona House of Representatives."

September 9, 2010:
"Here are my predicted results of the 2010 General Election. These results lead to a 36-24 Republican majority, one greater than the previous session."